Picasso M1 Fund Performance

We're a closed fund sharing our systematic quantitative strategy's backtested performance for entertainment, education, and building a trading community.

Historical backtesting results (Feb 2012 - April 2025) demonstrating our machine learning-driven global macro strategy's performance for community learning and discussion.

Cumulative Return

+2,084.42%
Feb 2012 - April 2025

CAGR (Annualized)

26.29%
vs S&P 500: 13.46% (1.95× higher)

Expected Yearly Return

24.64%
vs S&P 500: 12.66% (1.95× higher)

Sortino Ratio

1.71
vs S&P 500: 1.19 (1.44× higher)

Volatility

21.69%
vs S&P 500: 16.39%

Max Drawdown

-33.33%
vs S&P 500: -32.05%

Current Positions

Live positions
SymbolSharesEntry PriceCurrent PriceUnrealized P&LWeight
AAPL
2150$185$198+$28,4888.2%
MU
480$820$875+$26,4827.8%
MSFT
1050$410$426+$16,1396.1%

Live Portfolio Dashboard

Portfolio Allocation by Industries

The fund allocates across U.S. indexes and ETFs, creating diversified exposure in our educational backtesting model.

Fund Strategy Overview

Closed Fund: The Picasso M1 strategy uses machine learning models analyzing macroeconomic indicators from 20+ countries. Our Global Regime Model (GGM1) categorizes markets into Risk-On vs Risk-Off periods, dynamically adjusting allocations.

Backtested Performance (2012-2025): Our systematic approach delivered 26.29% CAGR vs S&P 500's 13.46% (1.95× higher), with 1.71 Sortino ratio vs 1.19 (1.44× higher), 21.69% volatility vs 16.39%, and -33.33% max drawdown vs -32.05%. Expected yearly return: 24.64% vs S&P's 12.66%.

Risk Management

Daily risk management with systematic position sizing across highly liquid U.S. indexes and ETFs, demonstrated in our closed educational backtesting model.

Momentum Focus

Machine learning models process weekly and monthly macroeconomic data to identify market regime shifts for educational demonstration of systematic trading.

Full Transparency

Complete transparency in our closed fund's methodology - sharing backtested results and strategy details to educate and build trading community knowledge.

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